Friday, February 18, 2011

Oscar 2010 Predictions: Original Screenplay

Here is yet another case of determining what should win in opposition to what actually will win. The only film nominated for Best Original Screenplay that I haven't seen is Another Year, and as things are right now, most people haven't gotten around to it. That's probably the main reason it didn't get any more nominations than this, and that's clearly a shame. However, we can't really do anything about that now, so we can only deal with what we've been given. The film that's undoubtedly going to win is The King's Speech, which is prepping to tie with Inception and The Social Network for most wins next Sunday. Going over the film again, things are rather predictable, and the dialogue a bit forced. It has the touch of experience from a former stammerer, but not much more than that.

There is a chance that Inception could come in for the win here, seeing as it already won the WGA award about two weeks ago. That was the greatest glimmer of light in this predictable awards season, and if anything's going to upset The King's Speech, it will be Nolan's film. That's something I'm desperately hoping for. If the world were to go by my own specific plan, as I sometime imagine it should, The Kids Are All Right would walk away with this specific prize. Across the past several months, the one thing that has stayed a constant is Lisa Cholodenko's suburban comedy, and I remain steadfastly in love with the film. The only lacking bit of the script is Julianne Moore's still heart-rendering confession to the family at the end of the film, but everything other than that is gold.

The only other contender in this race, and the one that doesn't stand a single chance in hell, is The Fighter. Since seeing the film, I have greatly lightened up on it, and it's been making its way up the ranks over the past few weeks, but the predictable story remains predictable. I would much rather have had Black Swan be nominated here, because there are some wonderfully original ideas employed in Aronofsky's latest work of art. It's a pity that isn't nominated.

1. The Kids Are All Right
2. Inception
3. Another Year
4. The King's Speech
5. The Fighter


Will Win: The King's Speech

Should Win: The Kids Are All Right

Potential Upset: Inception
Should Have Been Nominated: Black Swan

3 comments:

  1. I must ask because everyone is complaining about it and I honestly don't know why, but what exactly is wrong with Moore's big speech at the end of "The Kids are All Right"? Personally its one of my favorite scenes in the film.

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  2. It comes off a little preachy, which I doubt it would have if released in its original form. Originally Moore's character vouched for Paul, saying that it's not entirely his fault. For some reason, that was left out of the film.

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  3. I see.

    So the DVD commentary doesn't explain why? I remember on film misery there was a "of the Day" segment featuring that plotline. i still like it though, its not the best written scene in the film sure but it is one of the big scenes that Moore gets to shine in the film.

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