Edge of Darkness: This year's Taken?

January of 2009 was a dark time for films, when the highest grossing film of the year so far was Paul Blart: Mall Cop, and we were still being haunted by the spectre of Marley and Me. Thankfully Liam Neeson (Taken) came around to remind us why we usually go to movies: to see awesome people kill total douchebags. That was a year ago, and this year is shaping in a somewhat similar fashion. We've had Avatar carrying itself into this year, and Dwayne Johnson has once again reminded us of the fact that we hate him for making crappy films like Tooth Fairy.
But this friday, there is a chance to redeem all of that with the Mel Gibson starring Edge of Darkness. It's pretty much the same plot as Taken except instead of the old detective killing to save his daughter, he's killing to avenge his daughter, and instead of drugs and prostitutes it's radioactive materials and corrupt corporate leaders, and instead of some random guy helping the main guy out, he's helped out by Ray Winstone. Actually for all intents and purposes, this is nothing like Taken. In fact, it looks better than Taken

So what do you think? Is Edge of Darkness going to be as big as Liam Neeson's action film last year, or will it simply fall by the waistside? Most importantly, will it beat Avatar this weekend, because I think none of us wants to hear that Avatar won the weekend again again.