Tuesday, February 21, 2012

OSCAR 2011 PREDICTIONS: Lead Actress

I am usually much more enthusiastic regarding this particular race, because the women so often transcend the talent of their male counterparts in the top categories. Not so much this year, which only really yields two good performances. Does that mean that I count Michelle Williams, Meryl Streep, and Glenn Close as bad performances in their respective films? Absolutely, yes. "Albert Nobbs" contains nothing appealing to an entertainment or quality seeking audience, and it ultimately serves to give Glenn Close this nomination. Same goes for "The Iron Lady", and it seems like these films are only created now to give Meryl Streep these catapults towards awards.

And amongst the two films Michelle Williams has done this year, it's her more obvious performance that is getting the massive portion of the heat. Something as dry as the work she does in "Meek's Cutoff" isn't likely to gain many supporters in the Academy. So that leaves Viola Davis and Rooney Mara, and I'll admit that I won't be too ornery about Viola Davis winning. She gave a strong performance that had me invested from the start of "The Help", even if the film didn't match up. Although, her endurance throughout her career doesn't change that I'd be absolutely ecstatic if Rooney Mara won for "The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo". It was a performance that solidified her place in this business, as I know it would when I was already a fan of her a year previous for "The Social Network".

WILL WIN: Viola Davis ("The Help")
SHOULD WIN: Rooney Mara ("The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo")
SHOULD REALLY WIN: Juliette Binoche ("Certified Copy")
SHOULD HAVE BEEN HERE: Tilda Swinton ("We Need to Talk About Kevin")

1. Rooney Mara ("The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo")
2. Viola Davis ("The Help")
3. Michelle Williams ("My Week with Marilyn")
4. Meryl Streep ("The Iron Lady")
5. Glenn Close ("Albert Nobbs")

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