Art Direction: When it comes to this race it pays to have a certain fantasy element to a film. I'd say when it comes to that aspect of it the film with the lowest chances is The Young Victoria, because we've seen this sort of film before and everything is always exactly the same. There comes a time when one can get bored of it all. The next two that are hardly stemmed in reality are Sherlock Holmes and Nine, and while Holmes has enough striking imagery to give it a good shot, Nine doesn't really have a chance due to its negative reviews among critics. Though it pains me to say it, Avatar is most likely to take this one, with my alternate being The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus.
Cinematography: I'm very glad Bruno Delbonnel ground out a nomination for his work in Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince. It probably won't win, but it opens the possibility of seeing more of his work in the future. This category is wide open for any of the other four to take it. Avatar with its bright, colorful imagery; The Hurt Locker with its gritty, shaky, realistic look; Inglourious Basterds with its slanted, textured angles; and The White Ribbon with whatever it has in it. The White Ribbon just won the Cinematographer's Guild Award's top prize which gives it a bit of an edge, but it's too much of a competition to tell. My vote goes for Inglourious Basterds.
Makeup: I really thought that I had this category locked down until the nominations were announced and District 9 was surprisingly not on the list. While it does shake things up a bit, it's still a pretty sure race. Il Divo and The Young Victoria are too grounded in reality to have anything that would put it ahead in this race. The win is probably going to go to J.J. Abrams' Star Trek.
Costume Design: I can't offer much of an opinion on this race. I only know what I can tell from the trailers. Nine doesn't have a chance at any wins this year, and The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus lies a little too out there for anybody to take much notice. The Young Victoria could come in for a win, but it's mostly down to Bright Star and Coco Before Chanel, with the scale tipped a little bit in facor of the latter.
Visual Effects: I don't think I need to even register an opinion on this. I love District 9 and Star Trek so much more, but this award belongs to Avatar, hands down.
Film Editing: Usually this one goes to the Best Picture winner, and I feel if I give an opinion on this category then I've already said what is going to win that race. But I think that The Painful Sensation Storage Compartment or Container is going to win this.
Sunday, February 28, 2010
3 to See in March!
3. How To Train Your DragonDreamworks doesn't have as great a track record as Pixar does when it comes to their animated films. Some times they're quite enjoyable and successful (Kung Fu Panda, Monsters vs. Aliens) but most times they just expand upon the cliches of the art form (Shrek the Third, Madagascar). They're greatest weakness is their focus on appealing to children who, as experience has taught me are pretty damn annoying. At first sight this film looks like any other, but then I returned to two years ago when Kung Fu Panda was released, and by my initial viewing of the trailers I had no faith in the film at all and it ended up surprising me. Dreamworks does a good job of keeping the best parts of their films out of the promotional material, so I think this film will turn out alright. Dreamworks has always brought in a ton out of opening weekend and this should be no different, likely raking in over $60 million going on to settle in the $250 million range for the final domestic gross.
2. Greenberg This film almost made my number one spot, but it ultimately wasn't well known enough to put up there. I still believe this to be one of the big little films to look out for. Directed by Noah Baumbach who directed The Squid and the Whale, this film traces the activities of Ben Stiller's character whose life isn't going anywhere and he intends to keep it that way. From the look of the trailer it definitely has well written humor which is hard to come by this day and age. It does seem to be masking the darker and more depressing sides of it's story and trust me, when it comes to Noah Baumbach there is a dark side to everything he does. I've kept my reservations against Ben Stiller in the past, but in a good semi-dramatic role I think he has potential.
1. Alice in WonderlandThis film has been on the top of this list ever since I saw the teaser trailer over half a year ago. Tim Burton has brought his own unique vision to several other films and this time around he's bringing his own blend of strange beauty to the classic story of Alice in Wonderland. Now I'm not truly astounded by how they fashioned the film into a comprehensible story, but they could've done worse. The new rendition shows Alice returning to Wonderland after eight years in which the Red Queen has taken over. Now Alice is the only one who can stop her tyranical reign, for some reason. I've decided not to care about the whys and the whats in this instance and I'm just preparing to go along for the visually splendid ride that I wish Avatar had been but wasn't. This film is going to take quite a bit of money from Avatar which has held the 3D market for months.I foresee Alice to open to a spectacular $50-60 million, and end up somewhere above the $200 million mark.
The Storm is Past and Present
Power finally came back at my house after the storm that killed power for more than 200,000 homes in New Hampshire. While that's now out of the way I find myself critically behind on things, most especially my predictions for the Oscars so expect quite a few of those in the next week. Today I'm going to try to get in most of my predictions for the technical categories, and I'll be posting my 3 to see for the month of march before the day is out. Here's my schedule for this week, and that's not including Trailer Tuesday, or anything else that might happen this week.
Monday- Shutter Island Review
Tuesday- Oscar Predictions: Adapted and Original Screenplay
Wednesday- Oscar Predictions: Supporting Actor and Actress
Thursday- Oscar Predictions: Lead Actor and Actress
Friday- Oscar Predictions: Director and Other (anything I missed)
Saturday- Oscar Predictions: Best Picture
-Brooklyn's Finest Review
Sunday- Oscar Predictions: Precursors and Final Predictions
- Precious Review
Monday- Shutter Island Review
Tuesday- Oscar Predictions: Adapted and Original Screenplay
Wednesday- Oscar Predictions: Supporting Actor and Actress
Thursday- Oscar Predictions: Lead Actor and Actress
Friday- Oscar Predictions: Director and Other (anything I missed)
Saturday- Oscar Predictions: Best Picture
-Brooklyn's Finest Review
Sunday- Oscar Predictions: Precursors and Final Predictions
- Precious Review
Thursday, February 25, 2010
Oscar Predictions: Original Score and Original Song
One of the biggest contributing factors in movies is the music. In fact it's one of the only things that kept me awake while watching Avatar. This year however I think it's easy to say what the inevitable winner will be. James Horner did a nice job of musically portraying Avatar, but it just felt too much like Titanic. Hans Zimmer (Sherlock Holmes) gave us exemplary work as per usual. Alexandre Desplat will get a win someday, but it will probably for something better known than Fantastic Mr. Fox, like maybe his score for this year's Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 (Sorry. I couldn't resist). As for Marco Beltrami (The Hurt Locker), just go.
The clear winner in the race is obviously Michael Giacchino for Up. Giacchino could have been nominated for any of his scores, but Up was his true master stroke. The main theme itself evolves throughout the film from a simple piano melody to a full scale orchestral tribute. At times it felt as if the characters were actually being driven by the music playing. The film wouldn't be as touching as it is if Michael Giacchino hadn't done the score.
This year the Academy has decided not to play the songs nominated in the original song category during the broadcast, which I believe is a great decision on their part. That's not only because it will shorten the lengthy show, but because most of the songs nominated are uninteresting. I was worried that they wouldn't have this category at all, and the only reason I was worried was because of The Weary Kind from Crazy Heart. I don't have enough motivation to go through the other nominees, but as Daniel Plainview once said "When it comes to the showdown they won't be there". The Weary Kind captures what Falling Slowly had two years ago.
The clear winner in the race is obviously Michael Giacchino for Up. Giacchino could have been nominated for any of his scores, but Up was his true master stroke. The main theme itself evolves throughout the film from a simple piano melody to a full scale orchestral tribute. At times it felt as if the characters were actually being driven by the music playing. The film wouldn't be as touching as it is if Michael Giacchino hadn't done the score.This year the Academy has decided not to play the songs nominated in the original song category during the broadcast, which I believe is a great decision on their part. That's not only because it will shorten the lengthy show, but because most of the songs nominated are uninteresting. I was worried that they wouldn't have this category at all, and the only reason I was worried was because of The Weary Kind from Crazy Heart. I don't have enough motivation to go through the other nominees, but as Daniel Plainview once said "When it comes to the showdown they won't be there". The Weary Kind captures what Falling Slowly had two years ago.'The Special Relationship': Confined to HBO
It's impossible to guess what will be nominated for the Best Picture race a year in advance. It remains clouded in uncertainty whether or not the number of nominations will be reduced to five. That will ultimately depend on how many people watch the broadcast of the awards. Another factor to take into account is that most of the films that make it in are independantly released, so we likely haven't heard of them yet. However, this morning I stumbled upon one such film that may have what it takes to break into the pivotal category.
The film in question is The Special Relationship, the third installment of Peter Morgan's Tony Blair trilogy of films. Starting seven years ago (The Deal) and continuing three years later with the Oscar-nominated film The Queen, the series stars Michael Sheen as Tony Blair and each film deals with a significant time in the Prime Minister's life. The Special Relationship is specifically about Blair's dealings with U.S. president Bill Clinton, depicted by Dennis Quaid. I'm not at all a fan of Dennis, but it seems to me that Peter Morgan has intent on showing Clinton in a negative light so if that's the case then perfect casting.
The same people who brought us The Queen coming together for a final film seems to have quite a bit of Academy Award potential. The main problem is that while it will be released in theatres overseas, the film is to be broadcast on television in the U.S. by HBO. I know that at this point there probably isn't anything that can be done about it, but I personally don't care. I'd like to try to raise awareness of this film and get it the domestic theatrical release that it rightly deserves. I don't know how I'm going to do that seeing as only about 10 people read my blog per week, but please let me know what you think. Does this film merit a release in theatres? Is it too much praise to give a film that has yet to be released?
The film in question is The Special Relationship, the third installment of Peter Morgan's Tony Blair trilogy of films. Starting seven years ago (The Deal) and continuing three years later with the Oscar-nominated film The Queen, the series stars Michael Sheen as Tony Blair and each film deals with a significant time in the Prime Minister's life. The Special Relationship is specifically about Blair's dealings with U.S. president Bill Clinton, depicted by Dennis Quaid. I'm not at all a fan of Dennis, but it seems to me that Peter Morgan has intent on showing Clinton in a negative light so if that's the case then perfect casting.
The same people who brought us The Queen coming together for a final film seems to have quite a bit of Academy Award potential. The main problem is that while it will be released in theatres overseas, the film is to be broadcast on television in the U.S. by HBO. I know that at this point there probably isn't anything that can be done about it, but I personally don't care. I'd like to try to raise awareness of this film and get it the domestic theatrical release that it rightly deserves. I don't know how I'm going to do that seeing as only about 10 people read my blog per week, but please let me know what you think. Does this film merit a release in theatres? Is it too much praise to give a film that has yet to be released?
Wednesday, February 24, 2010
2010 Mid-Trimester Report
It's difficult to make such an accusation not even two months into the year, but I have a suspicion that this won't be a good year for movies. Then again it's the same sort of feeling that I get around this time every year. We had a good run for 2009, and we were able to get more than our fair share of blockbusters out of the year. It just feels like such a depressing change this time of year when we go from getting amazing movies to immediately getting crap. Like last year we have our single saving grace of a film. This year's Coraline came in the form of Shutter Island.
Besides that though there is nothing particularly inspiring. We first got a mashup of vampires (Daybreakers), Post-Apocalypses (Book of Eli), and career suicides (Tooth Fairy). Then as we mingled around Valentines Day we started on unhealthy sugar induced products (Percy Jackson, The Wolfman) until we rolled up in a corner and cried pathetically (Dear John). Then out of the darkness a friendly face (Martin Scorcese) comes to deliver us, but is then ridiculed and shot (Cop Out), and quickly loses his mind (The Crazies). That is a better plot than most of what you could find in the first two months of this year.
We still have quite a ways to go before we reach the real gold of the year, and we're just going to have to struggle through the coming weeks, and with luck we might get rewarded for our patience with a few surprises. Expect my 3 to see for March in the next few days, and shortly after that a review of Shutter Island.
Besides that though there is nothing particularly inspiring. We first got a mashup of vampires (Daybreakers), Post-Apocalypses (Book of Eli), and career suicides (Tooth Fairy). Then as we mingled around Valentines Day we started on unhealthy sugar induced products (Percy Jackson, The Wolfman) until we rolled up in a corner and cried pathetically (Dear John). Then out of the darkness a friendly face (Martin Scorcese) comes to deliver us, but is then ridiculed and shot (Cop Out), and quickly loses his mind (The Crazies). That is a better plot than most of what you could find in the first two months of this year.
We still have quite a ways to go before we reach the real gold of the year, and we're just going to have to struggle through the coming weeks, and with luck we might get rewarded for our patience with a few surprises. Expect my 3 to see for March in the next few days, and shortly after that a review of Shutter Island.
David Goyer to Write Next Superman Movie
About a month ago it was announced that Christopher Nolan, who had already revived the Batman saga, was consulting on the Superman franchise. Now the series has actually been assigned a writer. Unfortunately it's David Goyer. If that name doesn't ring familiar in your head then it's probably for the best. He's responsible for such cheesily awful horror thrillers such as The Invisible, The Unborn, and Blade: Trinity. Apart from that he produced the movie Ghost Rider, and wrote the film Jumper.
I know by now that he's not a good writer at all, and was dismayed to hear that he was back in the Batman franchise co-writing the script for the Dark Knight follow up. Why Warner Bros. hasn't already condemned this guy is beyond me. All of their hopes for saving the already flailing Superman series have just died. Now if David Goyer does a good job with this then I'll give him an apology, but don't start waiting for that because it will never happen.
I know by now that he's not a good writer at all, and was dismayed to hear that he was back in the Batman franchise co-writing the script for the Dark Knight follow up. Why Warner Bros. hasn't already condemned this guy is beyond me. All of their hopes for saving the already flailing Superman series have just died. Now if David Goyer does a good job with this then I'll give him an apology, but don't start waiting for that because it will never happen.
Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Trailer Tuesday: Wall Street 2
Only one new trailer this week, and it's the second trailer for the film Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps. I've been pretty mixed on this film ever since the painful subtitle was announced. Money never sleeps, stating a widely known fact that offers no light or relevance on the plot of the sequel. From the look of things it involves Gordon Gekko after his release from prison, and Jacob Moore, the man who's supposed to marry Gekko's daughter.
Oliver Stone hasn't been known for making sequels to his films, and he's always had his own unique way of doing things so we can't really tell what this film is going to be like. That said, I like the feeling that this trailer gives off. I doesn't seem like the action powered blockbuster that Shia LaBeouf is usually drawn to, and it'll be nice to see what he does with this sort of role. Carey Mulligan doesn't need to convince me of how solid she is as an actress. I don't have to see An Education to know how great an actress she is. Her cinematic prowess comes through even in the trailers. This trailer earns Stone's sequel an instant place somewhere on my 3 to see list for April. We'll have to see how this developes. Here's the trailer:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9ZL7gF86tBo
Oliver Stone hasn't been known for making sequels to his films, and he's always had his own unique way of doing things so we can't really tell what this film is going to be like. That said, I like the feeling that this trailer gives off. I doesn't seem like the action powered blockbuster that Shia LaBeouf is usually drawn to, and it'll be nice to see what he does with this sort of role. Carey Mulligan doesn't need to convince me of how solid she is as an actress. I don't have to see An Education to know how great an actress she is. Her cinematic prowess comes through even in the trailers. This trailer earns Stone's sequel an instant place somewhere on my 3 to see list for April. We'll have to see how this developes. Here's the trailer:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9ZL7gF86tBo
Monday, February 22, 2010
Fringe: What's Right, and Wrong with Season 2?
As you know I'm quite an admirer of this series and will follow it until the very end, which may be sooner rather than later seeing as they've had quite a problem with ratings since their time slot change. I may have been giving it a little too much praise though. The episodes they put on are brilliantly executed, but leave so much more to be desired. One truly wishes they could be as inventive with their stand alone episodes as they are with their mythology episodes, but that doesn't seem to be coming any time soon. It's quite sad seeing as it was J.J. Abrams' intent to have the series thrive on stand alone installments to make it more accessable to new viewers.So the only suggestion I can give on that front is more episodes dealing with the mythology. By this time last season they had nine out of fourteen episodes dealing with the mythology. This season they've only had five out of fourteen. While the other nine episodes have great character building moments they lack original storytelling devices. Fringe is starting to blend a little too much with the series it has been compared to most, The X-Files.
Other things the series could do better include pushing Olivia more into the foreground. She's the character who brought the team together, and largely considered the main character of the series. It'd be nice to give her a little more to chew on. Something that last season did on numerous occasions was give Olivia enemies who worked right with her, and penetrated Fringe decision from the inside. It'd be nice to have a few more of those people. Finally the biggest advice that I can give the series if it wants to survive: Get off thursday night! It's the factor that is more than anything killing the series.
Sunday, February 21, 2010
British Academy Award Winners Announced!
A couple of much needed surprises occured at tonights BAFTA awards. For one thing the lead acting categories chose the once frontrunning british actors over the current favorites in the Oscar race. Colin Firth took Best Actor for A Single Man, and Carey Mulligan took Best Actress for An Education. Hopefully her win will knock enough sense into the Academy to score her a win. An Education also missed out on Best British Film, which was seized by the mysterious Fish Tank. The last surprise was Un Prophete taking Best Foreign Language Film, beating out The White Ribbon. This may count as a significant event if it comes to pass that Un Prophete wins the Oscar. Below is the full list of winners.
Best Film - The Hurt Locker
Best Actor - Colin Firth (A Single Man as George Falconer)
Best Actress - Carey Mulligan (An Education as Jenny Miller)
Best Supporting Actor - Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds as Col. Hans Landa)
Best Supporting Actress - Mo'Nique (Precious as Mary Lee Johnston)
Best Adapted Screenplay - Up in the Air (Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner)
Best Original Screenplay - The Hurt Locker (Mark Boal)
Best Animated Film - Up (Pete Docter)
Best Cinematography - The Hurt Locker
Best Costume Design - The Young Victoria
Best Director - Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker)
Best Editing - The Hurt Locker
Outstanding British Film - Fish Tank
Best Film Not in the English Language - Un Prophete • France
Best Makeup and Hair - The Young Victoria
Best Music (Anthony Asquith Award for Film Music) - Up (Michael Giacchino)
Best Production Design - Avatar
Best Sound - The Hurt Locker
Best Special Visual Effects - Avatar
Best Film - The Hurt Locker
Best Actor - Colin Firth (A Single Man as George Falconer)
Best Actress - Carey Mulligan (An Education as Jenny Miller)
Best Supporting Actor - Christoph Waltz (Inglourious Basterds as Col. Hans Landa)
Best Supporting Actress - Mo'Nique (Precious as Mary Lee Johnston)
Best Adapted Screenplay - Up in the Air (Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner)
Best Original Screenplay - The Hurt Locker (Mark Boal)
Best Animated Film - Up (Pete Docter)
Best Cinematography - The Hurt Locker
Best Costume Design - The Young Victoria
Best Director - Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker)
Best Editing - The Hurt Locker
Outstanding British Film - Fish Tank
Best Film Not in the English Language - Un Prophete • France
Best Makeup and Hair - The Young Victoria
Best Music (Anthony Asquith Award for Film Music) - Up (Michael Giacchino)
Best Production Design - Avatar
Best Sound - The Hurt Locker
Best Special Visual Effects - Avatar
Oscar Predictions: Animated Short and Feature
There's something amazing about the animated film races this year, because the people who you'd place way out in the front in any other year are being given a run for their money. I'd previously expressed rage over the Academy's decision to omit The Cat Piano, and Partly Cloudy from the Animated Short category. I still maintain that they both deserved to get in more than some of the films that did make it in such as French Roast, and Granny O'Grimm. However most of the films nominated are quite amazing and enjoyable. The Lady and the Reaper is sort of a backwards Pixar short, applying the same liveliness and humor to a much darker subject.
The assumed frontrunner, and favorite in this category is the new Wallace and Gromit short A Matter of Loaf and Death. Combining the smoothest stop motion I've ever seen, the intrigue of a psychological thriller, and the same affable characters, it certainly has favor with the Academy who have rewarded Nick Park's animated series numerous times before. The thing that could probably stand in its way is deliciously dark Logorama. Even though most people think of this category as a kids race, where childish comedies are usually rewarded, it seems fitting that the Academy would choose a more realistic edgy film. Definitely see it as soon as you can. If any film can take down Wallace and Gromit it'll most likely be this, and I wouldn't be the slightest bit disappointed. This is a film that depicts Ronald McDonald as a mass murdering psychopath. It's got my vote based on that alone. 
As for the Animated Feature race, the clear front runner is obviously Up. In fact this category is mainly to blame for Up not having a chance at winning best picture. As for the other films, The Princess and the Frog did a good job of reviving the traditional hand drawn animation, but don't expect it to be remembered 15 years from now ranked alongside The Lion King and The Little Mermaid. The Secret of Kells snuck into the race out of nowhere, so I think that the fact that it's nominated at all is reward enough for it. Coraline was able to maintain enthusiasm since it was released over a year ago, so the spark it needed to win this category has regrettably mostly faded by now.
The assumed frontrunner, and favorite in this category is the new Wallace and Gromit short A Matter of Loaf and Death. Combining the smoothest stop motion I've ever seen, the intrigue of a psychological thriller, and the same affable characters, it certainly has favor with the Academy who have rewarded Nick Park's animated series numerous times before. The thing that could probably stand in its way is deliciously dark Logorama. Even though most people think of this category as a kids race, where childish comedies are usually rewarded, it seems fitting that the Academy would choose a more realistic edgy film. Definitely see it as soon as you can. If any film can take down Wallace and Gromit it'll most likely be this, and I wouldn't be the slightest bit disappointed. This is a film that depicts Ronald McDonald as a mass murdering psychopath. It's got my vote based on that alone. As for the Animated Feature race, the clear front runner is obviously Up. In fact this category is mainly to blame for Up not having a chance at winning best picture. As for the other films, The Princess and the Frog did a good job of reviving the traditional hand drawn animation, but don't expect it to be remembered 15 years from now ranked alongside The Lion King and The Little Mermaid. The Secret of Kells snuck into the race out of nowhere, so I think that the fact that it's nominated at all is reward enough for it. Coraline was able to maintain enthusiasm since it was released over a year ago, so the spark it needed to win this category has regrettably mostly faded by now. The film with the biggest chance of upsetting Up is without a doubt Wes Anderson's dark screwball comedy Fantastic Mr. Fox. Where the film lacks in the emotional resonance that Up provides it makes up in undeniable laughs and originality, which is rare to find in an adapted screenplay. One can't count the film out just because it missed a win at the Golden Globes, because by now everyone should know that the Golden Globes are a joke. The chances that Mr. Fox had two months ago are still very alive, and ultimately it will all come down to what happens on the big night.
The Cat Piano: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uj4RBmU-PIo
Partly Cloudy: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UV7HO9FazkI
French Roast: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iskBfH6bv3c
Granny O'Grimm: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cIDv1jJhoxY
The Lady and The Reaper: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A9CQDKt8LVo
Writers Guild Award Winners Announced
Original Screenplay - The Hurt Locker, Written by Mark Boal; Summit Entertainment
Adapted Screenplay - Up in the Air, Screenplay by Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner; Based upon the novel by Walter Kirn; Paramount Pictures
Documentary Screenplay - The Cove, Written by Mark Monroe; Lionsgate and Roadside Attractions
I'm not going to say that the winners in the categories didn't deserve their respective awards. I just don't think this really gives any insight into how Oscar night is going to play out, seeing as the WGA diqualified quite a few relevent films for whatever reason. It's pretty much a certainty that Up in the Air is going to win for Adapted Screenplay. District 9 or An Education might upset it but it's highly unlikely. The biggest question mark hanging in the air is whether The Hurt Locker is going to take Original Screenplay, or if Inglourious Basterds is going to pull out a surprise win. We'll probably get a better grasp of the state of the race after the British Academy Awards are awards tonight on BBC, which if you're one of the blessed people with that channel I'd suggest you tune in.
Adapted Screenplay - Up in the Air, Screenplay by Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner; Based upon the novel by Walter Kirn; Paramount Pictures
Documentary Screenplay - The Cove, Written by Mark Monroe; Lionsgate and Roadside Attractions
I'm not going to say that the winners in the categories didn't deserve their respective awards. I just don't think this really gives any insight into how Oscar night is going to play out, seeing as the WGA diqualified quite a few relevent films for whatever reason. It's pretty much a certainty that Up in the Air is going to win for Adapted Screenplay. District 9 or An Education might upset it but it's highly unlikely. The biggest question mark hanging in the air is whether The Hurt Locker is going to take Original Screenplay, or if Inglourious Basterds is going to pull out a surprise win. We'll probably get a better grasp of the state of the race after the British Academy Awards are awards tonight on BBC, which if you're one of the blessed people with that channel I'd suggest you tune in.
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